I just ran the numbers.
The Top 2 vote getters win.
Assume 700K Voters. 40% Vote in the Special Election. 60% are GOP. 40% are Dems. Dems look like 80% will go to Ossof – 90K. If the second place Dem gets 80% then that Dem gets 34K votes.
If the GOP top vote getter gets only 18% that equals 30K votes
So, based on these numbers even if Ossof only gets 30%, or 33K votes, the Dems will win the top two slots.
Can you check my numbers to see if this makes sense.
| Total Residents | 700,000 | ||
| Likely to Vote | 40% | 280000 | |
| GOP | 60% | 168000 | |
| DEM | 40% | 112000 | |
| GOP | |||
| Handel | 18% | 30240 | |
| Gray | 14% | 23520 | |
| Hill | 8% | 13440 | |
| Kremer | 3% | 5040 | |
| Moody | 2% | 3360 | |
| Levell | 0% | 756 | |
| Others | 1% | 1680 | |
| 46% | |||
| Dem | |||
| Ossof | 80% | 89600 | |
| Slotin | 20% | 33600 | |
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