First-principles thinking is one of the best ways to reverse-engineer complicated problems and unleash creative possibility.
Sometimes called “reasoning from first principles,” the idea is to break down complicated problems into basic elements and then reassemble them from the ground up. It’s one of the best ways to learn to think for yourself, unlock your creative potential, and move from linear to non-linear results.
The presentation of the TIDAL Approach to Decision Making. The TIDAL approach is designed to mitigate the perceptual limitations caused by the way our brain works. Selective perception, confirmation bias, motivated reasoning, and cultural/linguistic biases are real things that affect our decision-making.
Using The Social Dilemma Transcript this lesson tries to understand the influences Social Media has on the community and what should we do about it. Updated March 27, 2023
This lesson on the History of Health Misinformation provides evidence that Health Misinformation has been with us from our beginning.
How to Make Better Decisions Better Decisions come better information, and better information comes from better communication. Ultimately all decisions are information dependent. https://www.youtube.com/embed/GiPe1OiKQuk Some of your decisions will be so routine that...
Decision MakingHow to Make Better Decisions Better Decisions come better information, and better information comes from better communication. Ultimately all decisions are information dependent. Some of your decisions will be so routine that you make them without...
A Smart Recommender Based on Hybrid Learning Methods for Personal Well-Being Services Rayan M. Nouh, Hyun-Ho Lee, Won-Jin Lee, and Jae-Dong Lee* Author information Article notes Copyright and License information Disclaimer This article has been cited by other articles...
How you can protect yourself from misinformation. Throughout history, many smart people have fallen for lies. The current Covid-19 Pandemic provides a great opportunity to learn ways we can protect ourselves, and our community, from misinformation. It is a sad truth...
The Democratization of Artificial Intelligence and Deep Learning Abstract Deep learning is driving rapid innovations in artificial intelligence and influencing massive disruptions across all industries. This is the beginning of my effort to see if Deep Learning will...
The Paul Elder Critical thinking Framework is another attempt to help us process information better by providing structure to our thinking. Updated March 2, 2023
Reasoning Well is Critical for Effective Decision Making There is much truth to the old saying that life is just one decision after another. That’s why decision-making is one of life’s major preoccupations. "Reasoning well" is an essential ingredient in...
Who is Charlie Munger? Wit and Wisdom From The World’s Most Irreverent Billionaire Charlie Munger is one of the great minds of the 20th century. Below is an attempt to capture that wisdom in one shareable place. “Spend each day trying to be a little wiser than you...
Being Critical, Not Thinking Critically Too often in practice, people equate critical thinking with merely being skeptical of whatever they hear. Or they will interpret it to mean that, when confronted with someone who says something that they disagree with,...
The Most Important Communication Skills Needed to Improve your Decision Making And Information Gathering. Becoming a great communicator – what does it mean and what does it take? Communication Styles De-Coded: How to identify and understand the different communication...
I do not pretend to know what many ignorant men are sure of -CLARENCE D ARROW To know that we know what we know, and that we do not know what we do not know. That is true knowledge. -HENRY DAVID THOREAU We have met the enemy and he is us. -WALT KELLY'S "PoGo"...
I consider Claude Shannon one of my most important influences. Along with Alan Turing and F. A. Hayek. So, when I came across a post about Shannon's Problem Solving Algorithm, I had to read it. The post is Claude Shannon: How a Genius Solves Problems. In the post...
The facts reported in this new study are absolutely the most important facts that have come across my desk in awhile. The facts I'm talking about come from a new study by the Pew Research: Sharp Partisan Divisions in Views of National Institutions. Republicans...
Another example that truth is a casualty of our current political environment. But, a more important question for me is why does it matter where support comes from? The Conservative Leadership Fund is running an ad that says "Bay Area liberals have given more...
If this is true, and I believe it is true, it is important. If you support Trump you probably don't believe this true. That it is "fake news!" Right? So there are two questions: 1) Do you believe that Trump's top national security officials were surprised he did not...
I just learned a new term – Streaming analytics. Apparently streaming analytics is the application of analytics to data while it’s in motion, and before it’s stored – and includes data manipulation, normalization, cleansing and pattern of interest detection. Streaming...
I find this post from a Christian Media Outlet to be very important. I particularly thought the following quote interesting. Political candidates have proven they are able to motive their colleagues to strategize, work, and give to accomplish their goals more than the...
I got a list of questions someone asked the candidates. I thought these questions were interesting. They definitely come from a liberal source. I'd like to include the conservative questions. Do you support tying minimum wage increases to inflation? In the...
Something I have to say to my friends and family. For what it is worth. During Donald Trump’s campaign for president, Trump was repeatedly asked, by many in the Jewish community, to stop using the phrase “America First” to describe his foreign policy views. The reason...
Three months after I graduated from college and following a summer journalism fellowship at the Arizona Republic in Phoenix, I had my first interview for a full-time newspaper reporting job. It was in Wilmington, N.C. The managing editor of the newspaper picked me up...
No matter how smart we are and no matter how well we plan, things will go wrong. Sometimes it is our fault because we forgot something we should have known. Sometimes someone else is the cause of our tough times. And sometimes it is simply an accident. But, no...
[ted id=2265] Great Video of how we think. Specifically the comments about how we can take very little information and create huge conclusions.
The former Governor of Arkansas appeared on Christian television show, Life Today, to deliver his message that our nation would be so much better off if we all just believed in God. I put together a short video of my reaction to it. I really don't get it. If God makes...
In his new book Winners Dream: A Journey From Corner Store to Corner Office, SAP CEO Bill McDermott offers his suggestions for 7 Principles of success. (The full post is below). I have my own 7 principles for success. Let me see how well they align. My view is...
First things first: Confidence is not bravado, or swagger, or an overt pretense of bravery. Confidence is not some bold or brash air of self-belief directed at others. Confidence is quiet: It’s a natural expression of ability, expertise, and self-regard. Confidence...
I saw the post below and I thought I would add to it. I have my own Do's and Don't about helping your kids apply to college. Do's Start early - From the day they are born you need to think about college. You need to start early from a financial perspective and from...
Think about a gold wedding band. There are three distinct phases of that gold band. Phase 1 is the beginning of life for band, the mining and manufacturing of the band. Phase 2 is the longest period for the band, the time it is worn. And Phase 3 is when the band...
I was cleaning out my email inbox (something I needed to do for a long time) and I came across a report that listed the Top 12 Skills for 2012. It got me thinking what are the top skills one needs to succeed. Using the report as a starting point here is my list....
Here is an email I got this morning: Wednesday's ADP number suggested a sub-200K reading for today's May BLS jobs report. That would be a significant disappointment after April's robust 288K. But ADP is far from a flawless indicator. So estimates for today's number...
I came across the following at http://www.bede.org.uk/sciencehistory.htm written by James Hannam in 2002: The greatest of the secular myths is Galileo Galilei as a martyr for science. The epic battle between the forces of reason and truth and the dark superstitions of...
I came across the following at http://www.bede.org.uk/sciencehistory.htm written by James Hannam in 2002: The greatest of the secular myths is Galileo Galilei as a martyr for science. The epic battle between the forces of reason and truth and the dark superstitions of...
In Decision Science there are three things: Data Facts Conclusions Data are bits of information (0’s and 1’s). Facts are bits of information that happen to be “true.” And Conclusions are the actionable ideas we take from the data and facts. The key here is that...
First things first: Confidence is not bravado, or swagger, or an overt pretense of bravery. Confidence is not some bold or brash air of self-belief directed at others. Confidence is quiet: It’s a natural expression of ability, expertise, and self-regard. 1. They take...
“If we examine every stage of our lives, we find that from our first breath to our last we are under the constraint of circumstances. And yet we still possess the greatest of all freedoms, the power of developing our innermost selves in harmony with the moral order of...
In a Review of Phil Jackson's new book, Eleven Rings (for the 11 championship rings won by Jackson), Dave Logan says, "Jackson was successful because he turned the teams he coached into learning communities." They were learning communities because he learning from...
In the movie Stargate he says, to plot a course you need 7 points; 6 points for the destination, and 1 point for the origination. This is a true statement. And there is a lot you can learn from that statement. 1) The more precise you know your location the more...